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JPMorgan Asset Management Sets a 10% Base Case for Bitcoin, Still Sees No Clear Portfolio Role

JPMorgan Asset Management Sets a 10% Base Case for Bitcoin, Still Sees No Clear Portfolio Role
Photo: Unchained

BTC when published $83,145Now $80,595 ▼ −3.07% since it was published

JPMorgan Asset Management has attached a return range to bitcoin for the first time, projecting a base case of 10% a year for BTC over the next decade while concluding that the asset still has no settled place in a balanced portfolio. The projection sits in the firm’s 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions, the 31st edition of an annual report that sets return expectations for more than 200 assets over a 10- to 15-year horizon, using data as of Sept. 30, 2026. Besides the base case, the report gives bitcoin a bear case of -11.2% and a bull case of 16.6%, both annualized. Get Unchained’s crypto news in your inbox with the free Unchained Daily newsletter.

First reported by Unchained. This page is a short excerpt; the full text is theirs.

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